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Poll shows Kelly leading McSally in Arizona Senate race

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Posted at 10:47 AM, Aug 20, 2019
and last updated 2019-08-20 13:49:40-04

TUCSON, Ariz. — A new poll of Arizona voters shows Democrat Mark Kelly leading Republican Martha McSally in a hypothetical matchup in the state's November 2020 special election.

The poll of 600 likely voters in Arizona, conducted by the firm OH Predictive insights between Aug. 13 and Aug. 14, found Kelly with 46% support, McSally at 41% and 13% undecided with a 4% margin of error.

The poll also found that many Arizona voters are still undecided about Mark Kelly -- 31% said they had no opinion of the former astronaut and husband of former Congresswoman Gabby Giffords. Only 8% of voters said the same about McSally, former Air Force pilot and Congresswoman. That leaves plenty of room for fluctuation before the election -- more than a year away.

In Pima County, the poll found much higher support for Kelly with 52% support compared with 39% for McSally. Even in Maricopa County -- long considered one of the biggest Republican stronghold counties in the country -- Kelly leads McSally at 48% to 39%.

While Kelly hasn't officially secured the Democratic nomination for Senate in Arizona, no other major challengers have emerged so far ahead of the March 17 primary election.

Gov. Ducey appointed McSally to the Senate seat once held by John McCain in 2018 after she lost the election for Jeff Flake's Senate seat to Kyrsten Sinema.